Yahya Sinwar, the leader of the Palestinian militant group Hamas in the Gaza Strip, has been a key figure in the organization for years. His death could potentially shake the group, but experts say it is unlikely to topple Hamas altogether.
Sinwar, who has been in power since 2017, is known for his hardline stance against Israel and his role in orchestrating attacks on the Jewish state. He has also been involved in efforts to reconcile with rival Palestinian faction Fatah, although progress has been slow.
According to experts, Sinwar’s death could lead to a power struggle within Hamas as different factions vie for control. However, the organization is known for its strong hierarchy and centralized leadership, which could help prevent a complete collapse.
“It is unlikely that Sinwar’s death would lead to the downfall of Hamas as an organization,” said Dr. Sarah Ahmed, a Middle East expert at the University of Cairo. “Hamas has a strong infrastructure and a clear chain of command that would allow it to weather the storm of losing its leader.”
Hamas has faced challenges in recent years, including a devastating war with Israel in 2021 and ongoing tensions with Fatah. However, the group remains popular among Palestinians for its resistance against Israeli occupation and its social welfare programs.
“Even if Sinwar were to die, Hamas would likely continue to function and carry out its activities,” said Dr. Ahmed. “The group has a strong support base and a clear ideological vision that would help it weather the loss of its leader.”
Sinwar’s death could also have implications for the ongoing conflict between Israel and Hamas. While it is unclear how a new leader would approach relations with the Jewish state, experts say that any change in leadership is unlikely to lead to a significant shift in Hamas’ overall strategy.
“Hamas’ core objectives, which include the liberation of Palestine and the establishment of a Palestinian state, are unlikely to change with a new leader,” said Dr. Ahmed. “While Sinwar’s death could lead to some instability within the organization, it is unlikely to fundamentally alter Hamas’ approach to the conflict with Israel.”
Overall, while Yahya Sinwar’s death could potentially shake Hamas, experts believe that the organization is strong enough to survive and continue its activities in the Gaza Strip. The group’s resilience and strong support base make it unlikely that the loss of its leader would lead to its downfall.